Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.7% vs 54.9%). Look for Jenner on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Jenner wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.4% vs Draisaitl 54.6% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 59.3%
Defensive zone
Jenner 59.9%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 55.8%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Jenner
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Jenner
Draisaitl
Last 10: Jenner 5-5 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
6
Jenner
Draisaitl
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
6
0
Jenner
Draisaitl
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
1
Jenner
Draisaitl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (999)
52.4% (974)
+1.8%
Power Play
60.0% (240)
59.5% (373)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (147)
61.0% (123)
-11.3%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Jenner is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Jenner shoots left. Draisaitl is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Home / Away
Jenner
Draisaitl
Home
56.7% (693)
54.5% (778)
Away
52.7% (693)
55.3% (692)
By Period
Jenner
Draisaitl
P1
57.1%
54.6%
P2
54.1%
56.1%
P3
53.0%
53.3%
OT
61.9%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.9%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.7%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 18:50 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 18:41 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 18:29 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 16:50 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 12:58 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 09:41 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 08:53 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 05:46 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 25, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 19:47 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 13:33 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 05:11 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 01:01 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 00:52 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |