Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +19.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jenner wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.4% vs Barzal 39.3% (+19.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 76.9%
Defensive zone
Jenner 69.6%
Neutral zone
Barzal 58.9%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Jenner
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Jenner
Barzal
Last 5: Jenner 2-3 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
2
Jenner
Barzal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
2
1
Jenner
Barzal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (999)
35.0% (283)
+19.2%
Power Play
60.0% (240)
55.6% (9)
+4.4%
On even strength, Jenner has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Jenner is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (502).
Jenner shoots left. Barzal is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Jenner
Barzal
Home
56.7% (693)
37.0% (138)
Away
52.7% (693)
34.4% (154)
By Period
Jenner
Barzal
P1
57.1%
29.5%
P2
54.1%
44.5%
P3
53.0%
31.8%
OT
61.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
39.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.7%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
35.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 12:59 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 15:24 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 00:10 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 07:33 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 02:10 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |