Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 15 meetings). Jenner wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Barzal 42.2% (+11.9%)
H2H factor
Jenner leads 23-13 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Jenner 85.3%
Defensive zone
Jenner 97.0%
Neutral zone
Jenner 95.8%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 92.2%
92.2%
7.8%
Jenner
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
13
(36 meetings)
23
13
Jenner
Barzal
Last 10: Jenner 6-4 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
4
10
Jenner
Barzal
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
12
3
Jenner
Barzal
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
7
0
Jenner
Barzal
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (6,190)
41.9% (3,565)
+12.6%
Power Play
55.8% (1,147)
43.4% (205)
+12.4%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (998)
42.3% (26)
+6.1%
On even strength, Jenner has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Jenner is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,155).
Jenner shoots left. Barzal is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,699).
Home / Away
Jenner
Barzal
Home
54.5% (4,051)
43.1% (1,895)
Away
53.4% (4,284)
40.9% (1,901)
By Period
Jenner
Barzal
P1
53.7%
40.7%
P2
53.5%
44.4%
P3
54.4%
41.0%
OT
54.5%
27.6%
Final 5 min
52.2%
39.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.9%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
42.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 12:59 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 15:24 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 00:10 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 07:33 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 02:10 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 11:53 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 1 | 00:45 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 1 | 00:40 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 16:31 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 14:12 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 2 | 16:40 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 2 | 13:30 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 2 | 10:28 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 10:49 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 10:40 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 02:23 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 3 | 10:47 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 1 | 14:06 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 3 | 18:22 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 2 | 19:22 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |