Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 50.1% vs Barzal 41.4% (+10.4%)
Offensive zone
Barzal 50.5%
Defensive zone
Barzal 54.1%
Neutral zone
Barzal 52.9%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Jenner
Barzal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (227)
40.4% (463)
+9.4%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
34.2% (38)
+18.0%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
28.6% (7)
+24.3%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Jenner is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Jenner shoots left. Barzal is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
Jenner
Barzal
Home
51.0% (143)
38.1% (244)
Away
49.2% (124)
41.3% (264)
By Period
Jenner
Barzal
P1
51.7%
46.6%
P2
40.5%
35.7%
P3
57.3%
37.7%
Final 5 min
52.1%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.2%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
39.8%