Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.2% vs 49.7%). Look for Jenner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 50.1% vs Backlund 49.7% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 85.0%
Defensive zone
Backlund 73.2%
Neutral zone
Jenner 52.2%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 85.0%
85.0%
15.0%
Jenner
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Jenner
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
3
0
Jenner
Backlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (227)
50.1% (891)
-0.3%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
53.1% (64)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
47.8% (278)
+5.1%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Jenner is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (186).
Jenner shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (871).
Home / Away
Jenner
Backlund
Home
51.0% (143)
48.1% (580)
Away
49.2% (124)
51.1% (653)
By Period
Jenner
Backlund
P1
51.7%
45.1%
P2
40.5%
54.7%
P3
57.3%
49.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.2%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 07:45 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 3 | 18:41 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 3 | 12:30 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |