Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Backlund 50.3% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 79.9%
Defensive zone
Jenner 50.5%
Neutral zone
Jenner 58.9%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 67.3%
67.3%
32.7%
Jenner
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Jenner
Backlund
Last 8: Jenner 5-3 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
3
1
Jenner
Backlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jenner
Backlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Jenner
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (775)
51.0% (1,205)
+3.5%
Power Play
59.1% (198)
59.3% (108)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (140)
42.3% (234)
+4.1%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Jenner is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Jenner shoots left. Backlund is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,012).
Home / Away
Jenner
Backlund
Home
52.9% (512)
51.2% (782)
Away
55.4% (601)
49.4% (765)
By Period
Jenner
Backlund
P1
55.0%
51.5%
P2
54.5%
49.8%
P3
53.6%
49.9%
OT
52.6%
37.5%
Final 5 min
53.5%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.3%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2024 | 3 | 13:58 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 3 | 03:54 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 3 | 00:18 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 2 | 15:07 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 2 | 06:33 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 3 | 05:06 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 2 | 15:25 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 1 | 06:51 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |