Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jenner wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.4% vs Backlund 50.8% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 60.1%
Defensive zone
Backlund 61.4%
Neutral zone
Backlund 63.1%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 61.6%
38.4%
61.6%
Jenner
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Jenner
Backlund
Last 8: Jenner 3-5 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
2
Jenner
Backlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
2
0
Jenner
Backlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
3
Jenner
Backlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (999)
51.9% (1,083)
+2.3%
Power Play
60.0% (240)
51.7% (120)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (147)
44.3% (183)
+5.4%
On power play, Jenner has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Jenner is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Jenner shoots left. Backlund is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (824).
Home / Away
Jenner
Backlund
Home
56.7% (693)
51.9% (673)
Away
52.7% (693)
49.9% (713)
By Period
Jenner
Backlund
P1
57.1%
51.4%
P2
54.1%
50.5%
P3
53.0%
51.4%
OT
61.9%
35.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.7%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2023 | 3 | 15:42 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 2 | 16:17 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 2 | 14:55 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 2 | 13:07 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 2 | 11:07 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 2 | 05:19 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 1 | 06:05 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 1 | 05:55 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |