Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Jenner wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.3% vs Backlund 50.5% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 58.0%
Defensive zone
Backlund 57.6%
Neutral zone
Backlund 56.3%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
Jenner
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Jenner
Backlund
Last 10: Jenner 4-6 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
3
Jenner
Backlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Backlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
3
Jenner
Backlund
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (851)
51.5% (983)
+2.6%
Power Play
54.0% (202)
49.4% (87)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (145)
45.3% (159)
+5.0%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Jenner is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Jenner shoots left. Backlund is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Home / Away
Jenner
Backlund
Home
53.2% (609)
51.6% (653)
Away
54.0% (589)
49.3% (576)
By Period
Jenner
Backlund
P1
49.7%
50.0%
P2
53.6%
49.8%
P3
56.5%
51.7%
OT
65.2%
53.3%
Final 5 min
52.2%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.6%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 17:39 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 08:57 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 06:39 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 13:52 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 13:23 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 04:39 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 1 | 19:18 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |