Boone Jenner vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 20 meetings). Jenner wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Jenner leads 42-15 in 57 meetings
Offensive zone
Jenner 80.4%
Defensive zone
Jenner 95.1%
Neutral zone
Jenner 94.2%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 90.6%
90.6%
9.4%
Jenner
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
42
-
15
(57 meetings)
42
15
Jenner
MacKinnon
Last 10: Jenner 5-5 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
10
6
Jenner
MacKinnon
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
16
4
Jenner
MacKinnon
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
16
5
Jenner
MacKinnon
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (6,190)
46.1% (11,218)
+8.4%
Power Play
55.8% (1,147)
53.3% (1,412)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (998)
42.8% (502)
+5.6%
On even strength, Jenner has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Jenner is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,155).
Jenner shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
Home / Away
Jenner
MacKinnon
Home
54.5% (4,051)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
53.4% (4,284)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Jenner
MacKinnon
P1
53.7%
47.4%
P2
53.5%
46.6%
P3
54.4%
46.1%
OT
54.5%
48.4%
Final 5 min
52.2%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.9%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 07:44 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 18:33 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 12:20 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 00:23 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 16:54 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 03:33 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 12:29 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 3 | 03:22 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 2 | 18:44 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 2 | 08:34 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 1 | 08:04 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 02:04 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 14:58 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 04:13 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 00:05 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 07:32 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |