Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.3% vs 48.9%). Look for Jenner on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Jenner wins 56.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 49.5% vs Bjugstad 49.0% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Jenner leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Jenner 62.5%
Defensive zone
Jenner 61.4%
Neutral zone
Jenner 65.1%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 64.1%
64.1%
35.9%
Jenner
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
Jenner
Bjugstad
Last 10: Jenner 8-2 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
3
1
Jenner
Bjugstad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
7
3
Jenner
Bjugstad
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (234)
47.3% (806)
+1.8%
Power Play
51.2% (43)
55.0% (149)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (29)
59.0% (39)
-10.7%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Jenner is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (125).
Jenner shoots left. Bjugstad is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Home / Away
Jenner
Bjugstad
Home
55.8% (138)
55.4% (446)
Away
44.0% (168)
43.6% (548)
By Period
Jenner
Bjugstad
P1
53.8%
49.4%
P2
47.2%
48.1%
P3
48.0%
48.6%
OT
44.4%
61.1%
Final 5 min
51.9%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.3%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2014 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 3 | 02:57 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 2 | 10:41 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 1 | 09:51 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 1, 2014 | 3 | 19:49 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 1, 2014 | 3 | 14:41 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 1, 2014 | 3 | 14:37 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 1, 2014 | 3 | 02:53 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 1, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 1, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 1, 2014 | 1 | 04:50 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |