Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 50.1% vs Bjugstad 49.1% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 64.6%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 67.7%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 55.2%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 59.4%
40.6%
59.4%
Jenner
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Jenner
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Bjugstad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
2
Jenner
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (227)
48.9% (280)
+0.9%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
50.0% (6)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
47.2% (36)
+5.7%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Jenner is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Jenner shoots left. Bjugstad is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Jenner
Bjugstad
Home
51.0% (143)
48.4% (190)
Away
49.2% (124)
49.2% (132)
By Period
Jenner
Bjugstad
P1
51.7%
41.7%
P2
40.5%
56.6%
P3
57.3%
48.7%
Final 5 min
52.1%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.2%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 14:57 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 16:01 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |