Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Jenner wins 57.5% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Bjugstad 49.3% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Jenner leads 14-6 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Jenner 94.6%
Defensive zone
Jenner 69.3%
Neutral zone
Jenner 81.8%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 83.2%
83.2%
16.8%
Jenner
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
6
(20 meetings)
14
6
Jenner
Bjugstad
Last 10: Jenner 7-3 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
6
1
Jenner
Bjugstad
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
2
3
Jenner
Bjugstad
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
6
2
Jenner
Bjugstad
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (775)
50.7% (906)
+3.8%
Power Play
59.1% (198)
48.1% (108)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (140)
44.4% (239)
+2.0%
On power play, Jenner has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Jenner is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (447).
Jenner shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (906).
Home / Away
Jenner
Bjugstad
Home
52.9% (512)
49.8% (643)
Away
55.4% (601)
48.7% (610)
By Period
Jenner
Bjugstad
P1
55.0%
49.4%
P2
54.5%
50.5%
P3
53.6%
47.9%
OT
52.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.3%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 14:57 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 12:48 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 12:32 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 07:04 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 06:40 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 18:17 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 17:12 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 16:33 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 10:39 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 3 | 18:26 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 3 | 18:16 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 3 | 06:01 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 2 | 18:32 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 2 | 06:50 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 1 | 19:35 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 1 | 16:12 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |