Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Jenner wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.4% vs Bjugstad 48.0% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Bjugstad leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Jenner 71.2%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 76.1%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 56.9%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Jenner
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Jenner
Bjugstad
Last 10: Jenner 6-4 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
6
0
Jenner
Bjugstad
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
7
Jenner
Bjugstad
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (999)
49.4% (867)
+4.8%
Power Play
60.0% (240)
56.0% (25)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (147)
40.7% (216)
+9.0%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Jenner is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (502).
Jenner shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (796).
Home / Away
Jenner
Bjugstad
Home
56.7% (693)
46.5% (480)
Away
52.7% (693)
48.9% (628)
By Period
Jenner
Bjugstad
P1
57.1%
48.7%
P2
54.1%
45.6%
P3
53.0%
49.1%
OT
61.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.7%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2023 | 3 | 13:30 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 2 | 16:39 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 2 | 05:06 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 2 | 04:56 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 1 | 07:24 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 18:12 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 15:05 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 08:09 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 02:51 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 16:06 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 10:16 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 01:37 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 16:29 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 10:51 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |