Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Jenner wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Paul 52.2% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Jenner leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Jenner 55.8%
Defensive zone
Jenner 51.6%
Neutral zone
Jenner 53.3%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Jenner
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
10
(21 meetings)
11
10
Jenner
Paul
Last 10: Jenner 3-7 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Jenner
Paul
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
5
5
Jenner
Paul
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
3
2
Jenner
Paul
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (6,182)
52.6% (3,787)
+1.9%
Power Play
55.8% (1,147)
56.5% (480)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (997)
46.7% (574)
+1.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Jenner is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,172).
Jenner shoots left. Paul is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,065).
Home / Away
Jenner
Paul
Home
54.5% (4,051)
52.7% (2,412)
Away
53.5% (4,275)
51.8% (2,430)
By Period
Jenner
Paul
P1
53.8%
53.9%
P2
53.6%
51.1%
P3
54.4%
52.0%
OT
54.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
58.0%▲
49.5%
54.0%
Paul
58.0%▲
54.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 00:23 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 19:00 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 18:30 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 15:35 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 17:49 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 09:24 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 19:45 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 18:42 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 3 | 10:32 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 2 | 08:08 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 23, 2022 | 2 | 10:33 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 23, 2022 | 1 | 10:25 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 24, 2020 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 24, 2020 | 1 | 08:39 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 2 | 07:09 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 3 | 19:39 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 3 | 16:57 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 3 | 14:19 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 2 | 01:17 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 1 | 14:24 | Defensive | Nick Paul |