Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.3% vs 54.3%). Look for Paul on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Paul 53.9% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 52.1%
Defensive zone
Jenner 59.7%
Neutral zone
Jenner 52.8%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Jenner
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Jenner
Paul
Last 8: Jenner 2-6 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
3
Jenner
Paul
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Jenner
Paul
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
1
2
Jenner
Paul
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (775)
53.1% (710)
+1.4%
Power Play
59.1% (198)
57.3% (199)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (140)
58.0% (69)
-11.6%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Jenner is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Jenner shoots left. Paul is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Home / Away
Jenner
Paul
Home
52.9% (512)
56.0% (466)
Away
55.4% (601)
52.7% (512)
By Period
Jenner
Paul
P1
55.0%
57.2%
P2
54.5%
54.9%
P3
53.6%
51.5%
OT
52.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.5%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.3%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 00:23 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 19:00 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 18:30 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 15:35 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 17:49 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 09:24 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 19:45 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 18:42 | Offensive | Nick Paul |