Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.4% vs Paul 53.4% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 53.7%
Defensive zone
Paul 53.4%
Neutral zone
Paul 53.2%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Jenner
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Jenner
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Paul
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Jenner
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (999)
53.8% (753)
+0.4%
Power Play
60.0% (240)
58.9% (90)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (147)
47.4% (78)
+2.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Jenner is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Jenner shoots left. Paul is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Home / Away
Jenner
Paul
Home
56.7% (693)
54.2% (450)
Away
52.7% (693)
53.3% (471)
By Period
Jenner
Paul
P1
57.1%
58.2%
P2
54.1%
50.6%
P3
53.0%
52.9%
OT
61.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.7%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2022 | 3 | 10:32 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 2 | 08:08 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |