Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 50.1% vs Paul 53.3% (-3.9%)
Offensive zone
Jenner 52.1%
Defensive zone
Paul 54.7%
Neutral zone
Jenner 53.6%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Jenner
Paul
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (227)
53.2% (327)
-3.4%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
61.4% (57)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
50.0% (32)
+2.9%
On power play, Paul has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Jenner is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (186).
Jenner shoots left. Paul is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Jenner
Paul
Home
51.0% (143)
54.6% (183)
Away
49.2% (124)
53.6% (233)
By Period
Jenner
Paul
P1
51.7%
56.3%
P2
40.5%
54.8%
P3
57.3%
52.4%
Final 5 min
52.1%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.2%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.1%