Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Jenner wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.7% vs Paul 51.0% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 63.1%
Defensive zone
Jenner 78.5%
Neutral zone
Jenner 69.3%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 76.2%
76.2%
23.8%
Jenner
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Jenner
Paul
Last 8: Jenner 6-2 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
4
2
Jenner
Paul
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
2
0
Jenner
Paul
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (861)
53.5% (312)
+3.8%
Power Play
52.6% (135)
53.8% (26)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (170)
29.4% (34)
+17.1%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Jenner is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (757).
Jenner shoots left. Paul is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Jenner
Paul
Home
54.8% (586)
45.8% (153)
Away
55.5% (580)
55.0% (220)
By Period
Jenner
Paul
P1
57.3%
55.9%
P2
52.5%
48.9%
P3
55.9%
50.0%
OT
54.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
55.1%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2020 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 24, 2020 | 1 | 08:39 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 2 | 07:09 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 3 | 19:39 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 3 | 16:57 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 3 | 14:19 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 2 | 01:17 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 1 | 14:24 | Defensive | Nick Paul |