Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +14.7% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.4% vs Schmaltz 45.0% (+14.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 68.7%
Defensive zone
Jenner 74.8%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 53.2%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 60.9%
39.1%
60.9%
Jenner
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Jenner
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Jenner
Schmaltz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (999)
37.7% (53)
+16.5%
Power Play
60.0% (240)
40.9% (44)
+19.1%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (147)
66.7% (3)
-17.0%
On power play, Jenner has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Jenner is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (502).
Jenner shoots left. Schmaltz is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (77).
Home / Away
Jenner
Schmaltz
Home
56.7% (693)
34.7% (49)
Away
52.7% (693)
45.1% (51)
By Period
Jenner
Schmaltz
P1
57.1%
25.9%
P2
54.1%
46.2%
P3
53.0%
42.1%
OT
61.9%
46.7%
Final 5 min
51.9%
34.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.7%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
40.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 2 | 18:51 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |