Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 50.1% vs Schmaltz 46.6% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 75.8%
Defensive zone
Jenner 59.5%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 53.7%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Jenner
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Jenner
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Jenner
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (227)
45.9% (665)
+3.9%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
46.8% (111)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
50.0% (24)
+2.9%
On power play, Jenner has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Jenner is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Jenner shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Home / Away
Jenner
Schmaltz
Home
51.0% (143)
44.7% (409)
Away
49.2% (124)
47.6% (391)
By Period
Jenner
Schmaltz
P1
51.7%
40.3%
P2
40.5%
47.6%
P3
57.3%
51.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.2%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 09:22 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |