Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jenner wins 57.5% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Schmaltz 42.8% (+13.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 75.2%
Defensive zone
Jenner 89.8%
Neutral zone
Jenner 83.1%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 82.8%
82.8%
17.2%
Jenner
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Jenner
Schmaltz
Last 7: Jenner 5-2 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
2
0
Jenner
Schmaltz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jenner
Schmaltz
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
2
1
Jenner
Schmaltz
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (775)
38.5% (309)
+16.0%
Power Play
59.1% (198)
53.2% (79)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (140)
25.0% (12)
+21.4%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Jenner is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (447).
Jenner shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Jenner
Schmaltz
Home
52.9% (512)
38.0% (184)
Away
55.4% (601)
43.5% (216)
By Period
Jenner
Schmaltz
P1
55.0%
40.3%
P2
54.5%
39.9%
P3
53.6%
40.7%
OT
52.6%
70.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.3%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 13:55 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 09:15 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 3 | 16:27 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 3 | 12:50 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 2 | 14:19 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 2 | 14:12 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |