Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jenner wins 57.5% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Roy 47.2% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 86.3%
Defensive zone
Jenner 58.8%
Neutral zone
Jenner 76.6%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 67.7%
67.7%
32.3%
Jenner
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Jenner
Roy
Last 6: Jenner 4-2 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
2
Jenner
Roy
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
3
0
Jenner
Roy
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (775)
47.5% (617)
+7.0%
Power Play
59.1% (198)
39.6% (53)
+19.5%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (140)
46.4% (97)
+0.0%
On power play, Jenner has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Jenner is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (447).
Jenner shoots left. Roy is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
Jenner
Roy
Home
52.9% (512)
47.2% (398)
Away
55.4% (601)
46.3% (369)
By Period
Jenner
Roy
P1
55.0%
48.6%
P2
54.5%
48.8%
P3
53.6%
43.9%
OT
52.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.3%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 03:31 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 00:11 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 2 | 11:56 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 1 | 18:36 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 1 | 11:47 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |