Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 14 meetings). Jenner wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Roy 48.4% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Jenner leads 18-9 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Jenner 93.7%
Defensive zone
Jenner 71.9%
Neutral zone
Jenner 87.4%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 87.3%
87.3%
12.7%
Jenner
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
9
(27 meetings)
18
9
Jenner
Roy
Last 10: Jenner 6-4 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
10
4
Jenner
Roy
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
2
4
Jenner
Roy
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
6
1
Jenner
Roy
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (6,190)
48.7% (3,719)
+5.8%
Power Play
55.8% (1,147)
49.5% (283)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (998)
45.5% (477)
+2.9%
On power play, Jenner has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Jenner is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,155).
Jenner shoots left. Roy is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,288).
Home / Away
Jenner
Roy
Home
54.5% (4,051)
49.5% (2,221)
Away
53.4% (4,284)
47.3% (2,258)
By Period
Jenner
Roy
P1
53.7%
50.8%
P2
53.5%
46.3%
P3
54.4%
48.1%
OT
54.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.9%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2025 | 1 | 16:25 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 29, 2025 | 1 | 16:19 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 18:05 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 03:31 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 00:11 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 2 | 11:56 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 1 | 18:36 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 1 | 11:47 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 3 | 19:02 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 3 | 16:37 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 2 | 18:16 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 1 | 17:26 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 1 | 17:17 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 10:10 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 04:20 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 14:01 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 09:08 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 09:02 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 08:57 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |