Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 50.1% vs Roy 51.9% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 77.0%
Defensive zone
Roy 65.5%
Neutral zone
Jenner 60.0%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 77.0%
77.0%
23.0%
Jenner
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Jenner
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
2
Jenner
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (227)
51.9% (547)
-2.1%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
54.1% (37)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
53.3% (92)
-0.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Jenner is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Jenner shoots left. Roy is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Home / Away
Jenner
Roy
Home
51.0% (143)
54.0% (328)
Away
49.2% (124)
50.6% (348)
By Period
Jenner
Roy
P1
51.7%
53.5%
P2
40.5%
51.6%
P3
57.3%
51.6%
Final 5 min
52.1%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.2%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2025 | 1 | 16:25 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 29, 2025 | 1 | 16:19 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |