Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Jenner wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.7% vs Zacha 44.2% (+11.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 82.2%
Defensive zone
Jenner 85.1%
Neutral zone
Jenner 85.7%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 83.5%
83.5%
16.5%
Jenner
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Jenner
Zacha
Last 7: Jenner 5-2 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
4
0
Jenner
Zacha
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
2
Jenner
Zacha
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (861)
42.8% (514)
+14.5%
Power Play
52.6% (135)
51.9% (79)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (170)
36.1% (61)
+10.4%
On even strength, Jenner has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Jenner is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (757).
Jenner shoots left. Zacha is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Jenner
Zacha
Home
54.8% (586)
45.0% (289)
Away
55.5% (580)
41.9% (365)
By Period
Jenner
Zacha
P1
57.3%
47.4%
P2
52.5%
43.8%
P3
55.9%
37.7%
OT
54.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.2%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
55.1%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2020 | 3 | 09:44 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 3 | 09:40 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 3 | 12:37 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 2 | 19:12 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 2 | 02:19 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 3 | 04:42 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 1 | 10:45 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |