Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Jenner wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.4% vs Zacha 46.5% (+9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 65.3%
Defensive zone
Jenner 69.4%
Neutral zone
Zacha 52.0%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 63.1%
36.9%
63.1%
Jenner
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Jenner
Zacha
Last 6: Jenner 3-3 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
3
Jenner
Zacha
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (999)
45.3% (247)
+8.9%
Power Play
60.0% (240)
58.1% (31)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (147)
22.2% (18)
+27.5%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +27.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Jenner is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Jenner shoots left. Zacha is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Home / Away
Jenner
Zacha
Home
56.7% (693)
39.7% (131)
Away
52.7% (693)
49.7% (165)
By Period
Jenner
Zacha
P1
57.1%
42.9%
P2
54.1%
46.4%
P3
53.0%
42.3%
OT
61.9%
87.5%
Final 5 min
51.9%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.7%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 09:19 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 3 | 17:28 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 3 | 07:15 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 3 | 06:58 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 3 | 01:58 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 2 | 17:19 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |