Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 50.1% vs Zacha 51.7% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 62.2%
Defensive zone
Zacha 63.0%
Neutral zone
Jenner 50.3%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 63.0%
37.0%
63.0%
Jenner
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Jenner
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Jenner
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (227)
53.3% (646)
-3.5%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
53.0% (100)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
38.9% (72)
+14.0%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Jenner is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (186).
Jenner shoots left. Zacha is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (476).
Home / Away
Jenner
Zacha
Home
51.0% (143)
51.7% (410)
Away
49.2% (124)
52.2% (408)
By Period
Jenner
Zacha
P1
51.7%
57.7%
P2
40.5%
48.9%
P3
57.3%
50.2%
Final 5 min
52.1%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.2%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 01:43 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |