Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.3% vs 54.8%). Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Zacha 54.4% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 59.6%
Defensive zone
Jenner 65.4%
Neutral zone
Zacha 53.5%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Jenner
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Jenner
Zacha
Last 5: Jenner 1-4 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
3
Jenner
Zacha
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jenner
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (775)
53.9% (787)
+0.6%
Power Play
59.1% (198)
63.2% (193)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (140)
44.3% (88)
+2.1%
On power play, Zacha has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Jenner is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Jenner shoots left. Zacha is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Jenner
Zacha
Home
52.9% (512)
56.7% (538)
Away
55.4% (601)
52.8% (530)
By Period
Jenner
Zacha
P1
55.0%
52.6%
P2
54.5%
54.8%
P3
53.6%
56.8%
OT
52.6%
59.1%
Final 5 min
53.5%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.3%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2023 | 3 | 04:43 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 2 | 03:04 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 2 | 19:07 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 1 | 07:08 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 1 | 00:23 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |