Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 50.1% vs Carrick 53.8% (-4.3%)
Offensive zone
Jenner 73.6%
Defensive zone
Carrick 73.4%
Neutral zone
Carrick 51.5%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Jenner
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (227)
55.1% (439)
-5.3%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
66.7% (3)
-14.5%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
49.1% (53)
+3.8%
On power play, Carrick has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Jenner is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Jenner shoots left. Carrick is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (355).
Home / Away
Jenner
Carrick
Home
51.0% (143)
58.2% (225)
Away
49.2% (124)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Jenner
Carrick
P1
51.7%
56.7%
P2
40.5%
52.8%
P3
57.3%
54.4%
Final 5 min
52.1%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.2%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.5%