Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Jenner wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.4% vs Aho 51.2% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 75.0%
Defensive zone
Jenner 61.4%
Neutral zone
Aho 56.0%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 63.4%
36.6%
63.4%
Jenner
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Jenner
Aho
Last 10: Jenner 5-5 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
6
Jenner
Aho
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
3
0
Jenner
Aho
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (999)
48.5% (778)
+5.7%
Power Play
60.0% (240)
63.4% (191)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (147)
50.8% (65)
-1.1%
On even strength, Jenner has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Jenner is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Jenner shoots left. Aho is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Jenner
Aho
Home
56.7% (693)
51.3% (530)
Away
52.7% (693)
51.4% (504)
By Period
Jenner
Aho
P1
57.1%
50.0%
P2
54.1%
51.3%
P3
53.0%
52.1%
OT
61.9%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.9%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.7%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 07:16 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 06:52 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 04:47 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 04:39 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 04:34 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 03:09 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 00:12 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 19:01 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 15:25 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 15:14 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |