Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 28 meetings). Jenner wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Aho 51.2% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 42-39 in 81 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 73.3%
Defensive zone
Jenner 68.2%
Neutral zone
Jenner 50.3%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Jenner
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
39
-
42
(81 meetings)
39
42
Jenner
Aho
Last 10: Jenner 6-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
8
26
Jenner
Aho
34 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
24
4
Jenner
Aho
28 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
7
12
Jenner
Aho
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (6,190)
50.1% (6,619)
+4.4%
Power Play
55.8% (1,147)
58.9% (1,310)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (998)
46.3% (464)
+2.1%
On even strength, Jenner has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Jenner is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,180).
Jenner shoots left. Aho is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,305).
Home / Away
Jenner
Aho
Home
54.5% (4,051)
52.4% (4,308)
Away
53.4% (4,284)
50.1% (4,085)
By Period
Jenner
Aho
P1
53.7%
51.1%
P2
53.5%
52.0%
P3
54.4%
50.7%
OT
54.5%
48.9%
Final 5 min
52.2%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.9%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 03:13 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 16:23 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 00:48 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 00:37 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 19:04 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 07:49 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 00:53 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 15:01 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 13:08 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 06:30 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 03:29 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 03:20 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 18:57 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 07:16 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 06:52 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 04:47 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 04:39 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 04:34 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 03:09 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 00:12 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |