Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.3% vs 54.1%). Look for Jenner on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Aho 53.8% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Jenner leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 72.2%
Defensive zone
Jenner 65.6%
Neutral zone
Aho 52.9%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Jenner
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Jenner
Aho
Last 10: Jenner 6-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
2
1
Jenner
Aho
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
2
1
Jenner
Aho
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Jenner
Aho
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (775)
51.2% (785)
+3.3%
Power Play
59.1% (198)
63.8% (213)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (140)
57.9% (57)
-11.5%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Jenner is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Jenner shoots left. Aho is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
Jenner
Aho
Home
52.9% (512)
54.9% (548)
Away
55.4% (601)
53.3% (507)
By Period
Jenner
Aho
P1
55.0%
52.8%
P2
54.5%
58.9%
P3
53.6%
50.6%
OT
52.6%
60.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
48.0%▼
50.5%
54.3%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 16:23 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 00:48 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 00:37 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 19:04 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 07:49 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 00:53 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 15:01 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 13:08 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 06:30 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 03:29 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 03:20 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 18:57 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |