Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +19.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 50.1% vs Zegras 35.4% (+19.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 69.5%
Defensive zone
Jenner 61.8%
Neutral zone
Zegras 54.7%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Jenner
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Jenner
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
1
Jenner
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (227)
29.6% (230)
+20.2%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
32.1% (56)
+20.1%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
100.0% (1)
-47.1%
On penalty kill, Zegras has a +47.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Jenner is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (186).
Jenner shoots left. Zegras is 30.7% vs left-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Jenner
Zegras
Home
51.0% (143)
30.6% (147)
Away
49.2% (124)
30.0% (140)
By Period
Jenner
Zegras
P1
51.7%
33.0%
P2
40.5%
31.7%
P3
57.3%
25.6%
Final 5 min
52.1%
29.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.2%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
30.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 04:21 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |