Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +13.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Jenner wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.3% vs Zegras 41.5% (+13.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 59.8%
Defensive zone
Jenner 92.0%
Neutral zone
Jenner 88.2%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 82.1%
82.1%
17.9%
Jenner
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Jenner
Zegras
Last 8: Jenner 5-3 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
2
Jenner
Zegras
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
2
0
Jenner
Zegras
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
3
1
Jenner
Zegras
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (851)
39.4% (510)
+14.7%
Power Play
54.0% (202)
47.1% (34)
+6.9%
On even strength, Jenner has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Jenner is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Jenner shoots left. Zegras is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Jenner
Zegras
Home
53.2% (609)
42.3% (272)
Away
54.0% (589)
37.5% (272)
By Period
Jenner
Zegras
P1
49.7%
37.6%
P2
53.6%
41.5%
P3
56.5%
40.8%
OT
65.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.2%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.6%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
39.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 16:01 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 10:08 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 10:47 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 00:47 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 16:26 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 10:23 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 08:02 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 03:45 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |