Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +14.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Zegras on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Jenner wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.0% vs Zegras 40.2% (+14.4%)
H2H factor
Jenner leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Jenner 50.6%
Defensive zone
Jenner 89.6%
Neutral zone
Jenner 72.1%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 68.6%
68.6%
31.4%
Jenner
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
8
(17 meetings)
9
8
Jenner
Zegras
Last 10: Jenner 5-5 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
2
4
Jenner
Zegras
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
3
1
Jenner
Zegras
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
4
3
Jenner
Zegras
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (6,094)
39.5% (1,582)
+15.1%
Power Play
55.8% (1,146)
41.4% (133)
+14.4%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (990)
28.6% (7)
+19.9%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Jenner is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,105).
Jenner shoots left. Zegras is 39.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,170).
Home / Away
Jenner
Zegras
Home
54.5% (3,991)
40.6% (833)
Away
53.6% (4,239)
38.7% (889)
By Period
Jenner
Zegras
P1
53.7%
41.2%
P2
53.9%
39.1%
P3
54.5%
38.5%
OT
54.5%
35.3%
Final 5 min
52.2%
40.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
48.0%▼
50.5%
54.0%
Zegras
26.0%▼
35.5%
39.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 10:23 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 14:34 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 09:54 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 3 | 19:12 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 3 | 15:43 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 1 | 03:19 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 1 | 03:15 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 12:21 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 03:15 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 16:01 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 10:08 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 10:47 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 00:47 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 16:26 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 10:23 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 08:02 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 03:45 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |