Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +15.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Zegras on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Jenner wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Zegras 39.2% (+15.3%)
H2H factor
Zegras leads 9-9 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Zegras 68.4%
Defensive zone
Jenner 81.7%
Neutral zone
Jenner 61.8%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Jenner
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
9
(18 meetings)
9
9
Jenner
Zegras
Last 10: Jenner 4-6 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
2
4
Jenner
Zegras
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
3
1
Jenner
Zegras
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Jenner
Zegras
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (6,190)
38.6% (1,669)
+15.9%
Power Play
55.8% (1,147)
38.5% (148)
+17.3%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (998)
28.6% (7)
+19.8%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Jenner is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,180).
Jenner shoots left. Zegras is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,228).
Home / Away
Jenner
Zegras
Home
54.5% (4,051)
39.9% (882)
Away
53.4% (4,284)
37.4% (942)
By Period
Jenner
Zegras
P1
53.7%
40.2%
P2
53.5%
38.0%
P3
54.4%
37.7%
OT
54.5%
31.6%
Final 5 min
52.2%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.9%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
38.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 04:21 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 10:23 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 14:34 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 09:54 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 3 | 19:12 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 3 | 15:43 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 1 | 03:19 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 1 | 03:15 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 12:21 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 03:15 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 16:01 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 10:08 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 10:47 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 00:47 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 16:26 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 10:23 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 08:02 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 03:45 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |