Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +15.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Zegras 43.3% (+15.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 71.8%
Defensive zone
Jenner 88.9%
Neutral zone
Jenner 68.5%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 83.2%
83.2%
16.8%
Jenner
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Jenner
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Zegras
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jenner
Zegras
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (775)
39.8% (128)
+14.7%
Power Play
59.1% (198)
22.2% (9)
+36.9%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (140)
0.0% (1)
+46.4%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +46.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Jenner is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Jenner shoots left. Zegras is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (102).
Home / Away
Jenner
Zegras
Home
52.9% (512)
29.7% (74)
Away
55.4% (601)
48.4% (64)
By Period
Jenner
Zegras
P1
55.0%
40.7%
P2
54.5%
35.1%
P3
53.6%
41.0%
OT
52.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.3%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
38.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 10:23 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 14:34 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 09:54 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |