Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 45.0% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 51.1% vs Seguin 52.5% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 55.0%
Defensive zone
Seguin 60.5%
Neutral zone
Jenner 50.6%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Jenner
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Jenner
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Jenner
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (219)
53.2% (201)
-2.1%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
60.0% (25)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (16)
44.4% (9)
+11.9%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Jenner is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (80).
Jenner shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Jenner
Seguin
Home
51.0% (143)
56.3% (126)
Away
52.2% (115)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Jenner
Seguin
P1
53.6%
44.3%
P2
43.0%
52.1%
P3
56.8%
62.5%
Final 5 min
52.8%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
58.0%▲
49.5%
51.6%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 11:05 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |