Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 57.5% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Seguin 55.4% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 61.4%
Defensive zone
Jenner 54.9%
Neutral zone
Seguin 52.5%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Jenner
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Jenner
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Jenner
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (775)
56.9% (478)
-2.4%
Power Play
59.1% (198)
57.4% (54)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (140)
51.3% (76)
-4.9%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Jenner is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (447).
Jenner shoots left. Seguin is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Jenner
Seguin
Home
52.9% (512)
57.4% (317)
Away
55.4% (601)
55.0% (291)
By Period
Jenner
Seguin
P1
55.0%
50.3%
P2
54.5%
60.4%
P3
53.6%
58.0%
OT
52.6%
57.1%
Final 5 min
53.5%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 00:23 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 13:44 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |