Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 50.1% vs Seguin 52.5% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 58.2%
Defensive zone
Seguin 57.4%
Neutral zone
Jenner 52.1%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Jenner
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Jenner
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Jenner
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (227)
53.2% (201)
-3.4%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
60.0% (25)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
44.4% (9)
+8.5%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Jenner is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Jenner shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Jenner
Seguin
Home
51.0% (143)
56.3% (126)
Away
49.2% (124)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Jenner
Seguin
P1
51.7%
44.3%
P2
40.5%
52.1%
P3
57.3%
62.5%
Final 5 min
52.1%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.2%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 11:05 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |