Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.7% vs 54.7%). Jenner wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.4% vs Seguin 54.2% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 50.2%
Defensive zone
Jenner 50.7%
Neutral zone
Jenner 52.2%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Jenner
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Jenner
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jenner
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (999)
55.0% (713)
-0.8%
Power Play
60.0% (240)
56.7% (104)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (147)
47.2% (53)
+2.5%
On power play, Jenner has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Jenner is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (502).
Jenner shoots left. Seguin is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Jenner
Seguin
Home
56.7% (693)
56.2% (443)
Away
52.7% (693)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Jenner
Seguin
P1
57.1%
54.2%
P2
54.1%
52.9%
P3
53.0%
57.1%
OT
61.9%
60.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.7%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 04:58 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 13:29 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |