Scouting Report
Logan Brown holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Marchand wins 25.0% vs left-shot opponents — Brown shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchand 45.4% vs Brown 43.3% (-5.2%)
Offensive zone
Marchand 58.1%
Defensive zone
Brown 65.0%
Neutral zone
Brown 51.8%
Result
Logan Brown favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Marchand
Brown
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchand
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
31.0% (29)
39.2% (166)
-8.2%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
100.0% (1)
-60.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
0.0% (1)
+50.0%
On power play, Brown has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots left. Marchand is 25.0% vs left-shot opponents (32).
Marchand shoots left. Brown is 35.2% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Marchand
Brown
Home
42.1% (19)
36.5% (85)
Away
27.3% (22)
42.2% (83)
By Period
Marchand
Brown
P1
31.6%
42.1%
P2
28.6%
29.1%
P3
50.0%
46.4%
Final 5 min
16.7%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchand
42.0%▲
37.0%
34.1%
Brown
34.0%▼
36.0%
39.3%