Scouting Report
Brad Marchand holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Marchand wins 34.8% vs left-shot opponents — Brown shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchand 45.9% vs Brown 40.3% (+4.1%)
Offensive zone
Marchand 55.7%
Defensive zone
Brown 59.9%
Neutral zone
Brown 55.3%
Result
Logan Brown favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Marchand
Brown
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchand
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
29.7% (37)
35.7% (154)
-6.0%
Power Play
62.5% (16)
23.1% (13)
+39.4%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
0.0% (1)
+25.0%
On power play, Marchand has a +39.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots left. Marchand is 34.8% vs left-shot opponents (46).
Marchand shoots left. Brown is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Marchand
Brown
Home
43.3% (30)
39.7% (73)
Away
33.3% (27)
30.5% (95)
By Period
Marchand
Brown
P1
50.0%
30.4%
P2
45.0%
39.7%
P3
13.3%
32.7%
Final 5 min
25.0%
39.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchand
42.0%▲
37.0%
38.6%
Brown
34.0%▼
36.0%
34.5%