Scouting Report
Brad Marchand holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Marchand wins 36.4% vs left-shot opponents — Brown shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchand 40.3% vs Brown 39.6% (+1.4%)
Offensive zone
Marchand 65.8%
Defensive zone
Brown 65.9%
Neutral zone
Marchand 54.0%
Result
Brad Marchand favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Marchand
Brown
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchand
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
36.6% (473)
37.4% (457)
-0.8%
Power Play
49.3% (146)
39.4% (33)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
31.8% (66)
25.0% (4)
+6.8%
On power play, Marchand has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots left. Marchand is 36.4% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Marchand shoots left. Brown is 36.6% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Marchand
Brown
Home
39.9% (363)
39.7% (239)
Away
37.6% (322)
35.3% (255)
By Period
Marchand
Brown
P1
41.3%
39.8%
P2
35.0%
33.7%
P3
39.2%
38.9%
Final 5 min
37.9%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchand
42.0%▲
37.0%
38.8%
Brown
34.0%▼
36.0%
37.4%