Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +15.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Marchand wins 36.4% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchand 40.3% vs Duchene 54.1% (-15.4%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Marchand 76.1%
Defensive zone
Marchand 61.5%
Neutral zone
Marchand 78.0%
Result
Brad Marchand favored at 69.2%
69.2%
30.8%
Marchand
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Marchand
Duchene
Last 10: Marchand 3-7 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
2
Marchand
Duchene
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
4
Marchand
Duchene
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Marchand
Duchene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchand
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
36.6% (473)
53.9% (10,396)
-17.3%
Power Play
49.3% (146)
56.9% (1,665)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
31.8% (66)
49.1% (468)
-17.3%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Marchand is 36.4% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Marchand shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,059).
Home / Away
Marchand
Duchene
Home
39.9% (363)
55.6% (6,411)
Away
37.6% (322)
52.7% (6,142)
By Period
Marchand
Duchene
P1
41.3%
54.5%
P2
35.0%
54.5%
P3
39.2%
53.4%
OT
37.5%
56.3%
Final 5 min
37.9%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchand
42.0%▲
37.0%
38.8%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2019 | 2 | 14:29 | Defensive | Brad Marchand |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 1 | 03:59 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 3 | 08:00 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 2 | 08:18 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 2 | 08:04 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 1 | 06:49 | Offensive | Brad Marchand |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 2 | 12:19 | Neutral | Brad Marchand |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 1 | 14:16 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 21, 2015 | 1 | 06:32 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 13, 2014 | 1 | 04:19 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |