Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall. Marchand wins 34.8% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchand 45.9% vs Duchene 52.1% (-14.3%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 62.9%
Defensive zone
Marchand 59.4%
Neutral zone
Duchene 52.5%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Marchand
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchand
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
29.7% (37)
53.9% (193)
-24.2%
Power Play
62.5% (16)
49.2% (65)
+13.3%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
100.0% (1)
-75.0%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +75.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Marchand is 34.8% vs left-shot opponents (46).
Marchand shoots left. Duchene is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Marchand
Duchene
Home
43.3% (30)
54.9% (113)
Away
33.3% (27)
51.4% (146)
By Period
Marchand
Duchene
P1
50.0%
54.9%
P2
45.0%
52.7%
P3
13.3%
51.9%
Final 5 min
25.0%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchand
42.0%▲
37.0%
38.6%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%