Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +20.0% FO% edge overall. Marchand wins 25.0% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchand 45.4% vs Duchene 52.8% (-20.0%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 74.7%
Defensive zone
Marchand 65.4%
Neutral zone
Marchand 55.5%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Marchand
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchand
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
31.0% (29)
46.9% (162)
-15.9%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
73.2% (56)
-33.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
100.0% (2)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Marchand is 25.0% vs left-shot opponents (32).
Marchand shoots left. Duchene is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Marchand
Duchene
Home
42.1% (19)
58.4% (125)
Away
27.3% (22)
48.4% (95)
By Period
Marchand
Duchene
P1
31.6%
56.9%
P2
28.6%
52.5%
P3
50.0%
51.9%
Final 5 min
16.7%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchand
42.0%▲
37.0%
34.1%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%