Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Marchand wins 40.9% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchand 47.7% vs Duchene 55.6% (-12.9%)
Offensive zone
Marchand 57.6%
Defensive zone
Duchene 65.9%
Neutral zone
Duchene 58.6%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Marchand
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchand
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (36)
56.5% (566)
-12.1%
Power Play
41.7% (12)
61.3% (62)
-19.6%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
22.2% (9)
+20.7%
On penalty kill, Marchand has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Marchand is 40.9% vs left-shot opponents (22).
Marchand shoots left. Duchene is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Home / Away
Marchand
Duchene
Home
46.2% (26)
56.6% (318)
Away
41.4% (29)
56.4% (319)
By Period
Marchand
Duchene
P1
44.8%
57.2%
P2
30.8%
55.1%
P3
55.6%
55.6%
OT
50.0%
81.3%
Final 5 min
30.8%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchand
42.0%▲
37.0%
43.6%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%