Scouting Report
Trevor Zegras holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Marchand wins 34.8% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchand 45.9% vs Zegras 42.6% (-2.8%)
Offensive zone
Marchand 55.3%
Defensive zone
Zegras 67.8%
Neutral zone
Zegras 55.0%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Marchand
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchand
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
29.7% (37)
41.1% (559)
-11.4%
Power Play
62.5% (16)
50.0% (12)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
50.0% (2)
-25.0%
On penalty kill, Zegras has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Marchand is 34.8% vs left-shot opponents (46).
Marchand shoots left. Zegras is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
Marchand
Zegras
Home
43.3% (30)
45.7% (247)
Away
33.3% (27)
38.0% (326)
By Period
Marchand
Zegras
P1
50.0%
45.5%
P2
45.0%
36.8%
P3
13.3%
41.1%
Final 5 min
25.0%
37.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchand
42.0%▲
37.0%
38.6%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
41.4%