Scouting Report
Brad Marchand holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Marchand wins 40.9% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchand 47.7% vs Zegras 43.3% (+5.2%)
Offensive zone
Marchand 57.1%
Defensive zone
Zegras 54.8%
Neutral zone
Zegras 56.4%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Marchand
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchand
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (36)
39.8% (128)
+4.6%
Power Play
41.7% (12)
22.2% (9)
+19.5%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
0.0% (1)
+42.9%
On penalty kill, Marchand has a +42.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Marchand is 40.9% vs left-shot opponents (22).
Marchand shoots left. Zegras is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (102).
Home / Away
Marchand
Zegras
Home
46.2% (26)
29.7% (74)
Away
41.4% (29)
48.4% (64)
By Period
Marchand
Zegras
P1
44.8%
40.7%
P2
30.8%
35.1%
P3
55.6%
41.0%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
30.8%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchand
42.0%▲
37.0%
43.6%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
38.4%