Scouting Report
Trevor Zegras holds a +17.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchand 47.2% vs Zegras 35.4% (-17.8%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 69.4%
Defensive zone
Marchand 56.5%
Neutral zone
Zegras 56.4%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Marchand
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchand
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
12.5% (8)
29.6% (230)
-17.1%
On even strength, Zegras has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Marchand is 0.0% vs left-shot opponents (6).
Marchand shoots left. Zegras is 30.7% vs left-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Marchand
Zegras
Home
16.7% (6)
30.6% (147)
Away
0.0% (2)
30.0% (140)
By Period
Marchand
Zegras
P1
16.7%
33.0%
P2
0.0%
31.7%
Final 5 min
25.0%
29.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchand
42.0%▲
37.0%
12.5%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
30.3%